| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 71.2% | 71% | +0.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.7% | 61.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 33.8% | 66.1% |
| logistic | 28.7% | 71.3% |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | Holger Rune | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1673 | 1879 |
| Surface Elo | 1673 | 1879 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.29 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.89 | 1.14 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.56 | 1.43 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | A | Arthur Rinderknech | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | James Duckworth | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Rinky Hijikata | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | James Duckworth | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Nov | H | Zizou Bergs | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Tommy Paul | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Tommy Paul | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Valentin Vacherot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Valentin Vacherot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jan 2025 | Holger Rune | 3 - 2 | Miomir Kecmanovic |
| 23 Oct 2023 | Holger Rune | 2 - 1 | Miomir Kecmanovic |
| 16 Oct 2023 | Holger Rune | 0 - 2 | Miomir Kecmanovic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.41 | 70.9% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.05 | 32.8% | 11 Nov 06:15 |