| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 44.0% | 38% | +6.2% | |
| DC | Home or away | 75.8% | 80% | -4.7% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 55.8% | 51% | +4.9% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.2% | 62% | -0.9% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 61.1% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 48.4% | 25.6% | 26.0% |
| xgboost | 29.3% | 28.1% | 42.5% |
| logistic | 42.1% | 24.8% | 33.1% |
| Forest Green | Harrogate | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1468 | 1452 |
| Surface Elo | 1468 | 1452 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.50 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.80 | 1.86 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.20 | 1.29 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Eastleigh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Eastleigh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Chesham United | 5 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Chesham United | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Hartlepool | 2 - 4 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Carlisle | 0 - 3 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Carlisle | 0 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Sutton | 3 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Sutton | 3 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Bury | 1 - 1 | D |
| 13 Jan 2024 | Forest Green | 0 - 2 | Harrogate |
| 12 Aug 2023 | Harrogate | 0 - 1 | Forest Green |
| 30 Apr 2022 | Forest Green | 1 - 3 | Harrogate |
| 07 Dec 2021 | Harrogate | 1 - 4 | Forest Green |
| 13 Mar 2021 | Forest Green | 2 - 1 | Harrogate |
| 05 Dec 2020 | Harrogate | 0 - 1 | Forest Green |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.55 | 39.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.61 | 62.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |