| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.2% | 52% | -0.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 45.9% | 54.0% |
| logistic | 50.6% | 49.4% |
| Xiyu Wang | Xinyu Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1537 | 1570 |
| Surface Elo | 1537 | 1570 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 43 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Mia Pohankova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Xinyu Wang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Iga Swiatek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Aug | A | Madison Keys | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Aug | A | Leylah Fernandez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Xiyu Wang | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Sonay Kartal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Sonay Kartal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Tatiana Prozorova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Joanna Garland | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Xinyu Wang | 0 - 2 | Xiyu Wang |
| 01 Jan 2024 | Xinyu Wang | 1 - 2 | Xiyu Wang |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.95 | 51.3% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.90 | 52.6% | 12 Oct 06:15 |