| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.5% | 49% | +2.9% | |
| DC | Home or away | 77.5% | 76% | +1.4% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 66.8% | 65% | +1.7% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% | 62% | -3.7% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.8% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 30.4% | 24.6% | 45.0% |
| xgboost | 25.3% | 22.6% | 52.2% |
| logistic | 21.2% | 25.1% | 53.7% |
| Ac Milan | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1763 | 1938 |
| Surface Elo | 1763 | 1938 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.75 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.75 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 3 W · 2 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Bologna | 2 - 4 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Bologna | 2 - 4 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Catanzaro | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Pavonese | 1 - 1 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Udinese | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Venezia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Venezia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Scafatese Calcio 1922 | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Fiorentina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Fiorentina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Mar 2026 | Ac Milan | 1 - 0 | Inter |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Inter | 0 - 1 | Ac Milan |
| 02 Feb 2025 | Ac Milan | 1 - 1 | Inter |
| 22 Sep 2024 | Inter | 1 - 2 | Ac Milan |
| 22 Apr 2024 | Ac Milan | 1 - 2 | Inter |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Inter | 5 - 1 | Ac Milan |
| 05 Feb 2023 | Inter | 1 - 0 | Ac Milan |
| 03 Sep 2022 | Ac Milan | 3 - 2 | Inter |
| 05 Feb 2022 | Inter | 1 - 2 | Ac Milan |
| 07 Nov 2021 | Ac Milan | 1 - 1 | Inter |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.06 | 48.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.87 | 25.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.63 | 27.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.62 | 61.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |