| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.4% | 48% | +10.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.6% | 43.7% |
| xgboost | 60.8% | 38.6% |
| logistic | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Calgary Flames | Philadelphia Flyers | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1444 | 1435 |
| Surface Elo | 1444 | 1435 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.41 | 0.22 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.47 | 2.17 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.53 | 3.39 |
| Rest days | 1 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | H | Anaheim Ducks | 3 - 5 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Seattle Kraken | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | San Jose Sharks | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Colorado Avalanche | 2 - 5 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Seattle Kraken | 6 - 2 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | New York Rangers | 2 - 3 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Minnesota Wild | 2 - 4 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 6 - 3 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Washington Capitals | 2 - 5 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Columbus Blue Jackets | 3 - 4 | L |
| 01 Jan 2026 | Calgary Flames | 5 - 1 | Philadelphia Flyers |
| 03 Nov 2025 | Philadelphia Flyers | 1 - 2 | Calgary Flames |
| 05 Mar 2025 | Philadelphia Flyers | 3 - 6 | Calgary Flames |
| 13 Oct 2024 | Calgary Flames | 6 - 3 | Philadelphia Flyers |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 2.07 | 48.3% | 08 Nov 23:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.85 | 54.1% | 08 Nov 23:20 |