| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.9% | 54% | -7.9% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 74.4% | 83% | -8.8% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 63.0% | 74% | -10.7% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.3% | 54% | -2.8% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.4% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 31.1% | 28.4% | 40.5% |
| xgboost | 52.0% | 24.7% | 23.3% |
| logistic | 50.0% | 34.8% | 15.3% |
| Reggiana | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1366 | 1275 |
| Surface Elo | 1366 | 1275 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.14 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 189 | 2296 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | A | Atalanta | 3 - 4 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Lecco | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | US Sambenedettese | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | US Grosseto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Modena | 0 - 0 | D |
| 08 Nov | A | Campobasso FC | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Nov | H | AS Ostiamare | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Spezia | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | US Sambenedettese | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | US Grosseto | 4 - 4 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.90 | 25.6% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.86 | 53.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.85 | 54.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.85 | 54.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |