| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 48.6% | 43% | +5.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.3% | 74% | -0.1% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 62.2% | 61% | +1.6% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% | 47% | +8.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.9% | 29.4% | 33.8% |
| xgboost | 28.9% | 28.1% | 43.0% |
| logistic | 27.9% | 29.4% | 42.7% |
| Charlton | Bristol City | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1502 | 1549 |
| Surface Elo | 1502 | 1549 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 21 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 1 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Cardiff | 1 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Cardiff | 1 - 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Portsmouth | 0 - 0 | D |
| 09 Sep | H | QPR | 0 - 0 | D |
| 05 Sep | A | Stoke | 0 - 4 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Watford | 1 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Lincoln | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Southampton | 1 - 4 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Burnley | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Sep | A | Preston | 3 - 1 | W |
| 03 Apr 2026 | Charlton | 1 - 2 | Bristol City |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Bristol City | 0 - 0 | Charlton |
| 26 Dec 2019 | Charlton | 3 - 2 | Bristol City |
| 23 Oct 2019 | Bristol City | 2 - 1 | Charlton |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.33 | 42.9% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.41 | 29.3% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.25 | 30.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.15 | 46.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.75 | 57.1% | 09 Oct 06:15 |