OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ League One · Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Bradford 2.20 2 - 0 2.00 Stevenage
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 48.1%52%-4.0%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 75.5%82%-6.1%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 64.0%72%-8.0%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 62.7%61%+1.9%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 57.5%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson40.6%33.3%26.1%
xgboost41.1%29.6%29.3%
logistic48.3%26.6%25.0%
Inputs the models saw
BradfordStevenage
Elo (pre-match)15681549
Surface Elo15681549
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.202.00
Form trend0.60-0.10
Season points per game1.891.50
Season goals for / game0.891.50
Season goals against / game0.561.00
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)7 W1 W · 2 D
Bradford: last 5
10 OctHLeyton Orient0 - 0D
10 OctHLeyton Orient0 - 0D
06 OctARotherham4 - 0W
03 OctAReading1 - 1D
03 OctAReading1 - 1D
Stevenage: last 5
10 OctHWigan1 - 0W
10 OctHWigan1 - 0W
06 OctHLeicester2 - 1W
22 SepAWalsall6 - 1W
19 SepALeyton Orient0 - 1L
Head to head
11 Apr 2026Bradford0 - 1Stevenage
25 Oct 2025Stevenage1 - 1Bradford
11 Feb 2023Stevenage2 - 3Bradford
17 Sep 2022Bradford3 - 0Stevenage
08 Feb 2022Stevenage0 - 1Bradford
17 Aug 2021Bradford4 - 1Stevenage
05 Apr 2021Stevenage1 - 1Bradford
26 Sep 2020Bradford2 - 1Stevenage
11 Feb 2020Bradford3 - 1Stevenage
20 Aug 2019Stevenage0 - 1Bradford
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.3323.1%17 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.4029.4%17 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home1.7955.9%17 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.2544.4%17 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.6261.7%17 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away4.0025.0%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4029.4%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.9850.5%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.2544.4%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.6261.7%17 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:09 UTC