| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.0% | 57% | +5.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 64.1% | 35.8% |
| logistic | 66.1% | 33.9% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Ella Mcdonald | Elvina Kalieva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1667 | 1492 |
| Surface Elo | 1667 | 1492 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.81 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.88 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.38 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Madison Brengle | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Anastasia Tikhonova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Mortensen, R | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Rose Marie Nijkamp | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Iryna Shymanovich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Savannah Broadus | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Tamara Korpatsch | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Yexin Ma | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Viktorija Golubic | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.98 | 50.5% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.74 | 57.5% | 28 Oct 06:15 |