| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.5% | 62% | -8.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.9% | 53.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 58.6% | 41.4% |
| logistic | 53.4% | 46.6% |
| Daniel Elahi Galan | Calvin Hemery | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1583 | 1554 |
| Surface Elo | 1583 | 1554 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Calvin Hemery | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Carlos Taberner | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Oriol Roca Batalla | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Daniel Elahi Galan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Dusan Lajovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Calvin Hemery | 2 - 1 | Daniel Elahi Galan |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.62 | 61.7% | 21 Sep 06:15 |