| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.4% | 54% | -3.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.1% | 81% | -2.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 69.2% | 73% | -3.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.8% | 60% | -5.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 54.7% | 24.2% | 21.1% |
| xgboost | 47.1% | 29.5% | 23.5% |
| logistic | 49.9% | 27.6% | 22.5% |
| Girona | Andorra | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1569 | 1449 |
| Surface Elo | 1569 | 1449 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.70 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Espanyol Barcelona B | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Mallorca | 0 - 0 | D |
| 04 Oct | H | Mallorca | 0 - 0 | D |
| 27 Sep | H | Osasuna | 3 - 2 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Castellon | 1 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Castellon | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Sabadell | 0 - 0 | D |
| 03 Oct | A | Sabadell | 0 - 0 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Granada | 3 - 2 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.00 | 25.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.84 | 54.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.66 | 60.2% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |