| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 66.8% | 76% | -9.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 21.0% | 79.0% |
| logistic | 35.2% | 64.8% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Thijs Boogaard | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1478 | 1652 |
| Surface Elo | 1478 | 1652 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 9 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Henry Bernet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Trufelli, Timeo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Philip Henning | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Alberto Barroso Campos | 0 - 1 | L |
| 23 Sep | A | Lucas Renard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Mika Brunold | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 1 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Etienne Donnet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Max Schoenhaus | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.24 | 80.7% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.65 | 27.4% | 21 Oct 06:15 |