| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 54.8% | 30.6% |
| xgboost | 63.2% | 35.1% |
| logistic | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | San Jose Sharks | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1370 | 1459 |
| Surface Elo | 1370 | 1459 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.22 | 2.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.56 | 3.63 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | New York Islanders | 1 - 4 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Buffalo Sabres | 4 - 5 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 4 - 5 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Colorado Avalanche | 6 - 3 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 3 - 4 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Detroit Red Wings | 3 - 4 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Nashville Predators | 3 - 2 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Boston Bruins | 3 - 6 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Edmonton Oilers | 1 - 3 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | St. Louis Blues | 3 - 2 | W |
| 03 Apr 2026 | San Jose Sharks | 4 - 1 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| 12 Dec 2025 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 2 - 3 | San Jose Sharks |
| 28 Mar 2025 | San Jose Sharks | 6 - 5 | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| 04 Mar 2025 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 2 - 3 | San Jose Sharks |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||