| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.3% | 76% | -30.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.4% | 88% | -12.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 57.4% | 92% | -34.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.7% | 36% | +17.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 32.9% | 24.4% | 42.7% |
| xgboost | 48.7% | 28.0% | 23.3% |
| logistic | 41.3% | 28.5% | 30.3% |
| Boreham Wood | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1657 | 1643 |
| Surface Elo | 1657 | 1643 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 10 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Woking | 3 - 2 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Sutton | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Sutton | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Altrincham | 3 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Altrincham | 3 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Cardiff | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Cardiff | 2 - 2 | D |
| 13 Oct | A | Stoke | 3 - 2 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Stoke | 3 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 8.00 | 12.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.40 | 18.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.32 | 75.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.42 | 70.4% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.80 | 35.7% | 20 Oct 06:15 |