| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.8% | 57% | -5.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.9% | 50.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 47.4% | 52.5% |
| logistic | 49.9% | 50.1% |
| Calvin Hemery | Lucas Poullain | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1595 | 1606 |
| Surface Elo | 1595 | 1606 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | H | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Philip Henning | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Robin Catry | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Adrien Gobat | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Raul Brancaccio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Nov | A | Pierre Delage | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Jerome Kym | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Yannik Kelm | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Jerome Kym | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Tomas Lanik | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.76 | 56.8% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.99 | 50.2% | 09 Nov 06:15 |