| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.6% | 63% | -9.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.7% | 56.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 44.8% | 55.1% |
| logistic | 54.5% | 45.5% |
| Dimitar Kuzmanov | Damir Dzumhur | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1592 | 1622 |
| Surface Elo | 1592 | 1622 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.40 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | H | Massellani, Simone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Matyas Cerny | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Damir Dzumhur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Simone Massellani | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Ryan Peniston | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Aziz Dougaz | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Jacob Fearnley | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Maks Kasnikowski | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Tom Gentzsch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Dimitar Kuzmanov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Damir Dzumhur | 2 - 1 | Dimitar Kuzmanov |
| 04 Oct 2021 | Damir Dzumhur | 0 - 2 | Dimitar Kuzmanov |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.59 | 62.9% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 15 Oct 06:15 |