| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.8% | 60% | -6.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 77.2% | 83% | -5.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 68.5% | 78% | -10.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.8% | 60% | -12.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 51.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.9% | 23.1% | 29.0% |
| xgboost | 54.0% | 22.8% | 23.1% |
| logistic | 46.0% | 26.6% | 27.4% |
| Wealdstone | Gateshead | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1374 | 1344 |
| Surface Elo | 1374 | 1344 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.89 | 0.44 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.22 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 2.22 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 6 W · 1 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Tamworth | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Tamworth | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Halifax | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Boston Utd | 3 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Kidderminster | 1 - 4 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Southend | 1 - 6 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Southend | 1 - 6 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Kidderminster | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Forest Green | 0 - 4 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Solihull | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Mar 2026 | Gateshead | 1 - 0 | Wealdstone |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Wealdstone | 2 - 2 | Gateshead |
| 08 Feb 2025 | Wealdstone | 0 - 4 | Gateshead |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Gateshead | 1 - 0 | Wealdstone |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Wealdstone | 2 - 4 | Gateshead |
| 03 Oct 2023 | Gateshead | 2 - 1 | Wealdstone |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Wealdstone | 1 - 2 | Gateshead |
| 27 Aug 2022 | Gateshead | 0 - 1 | Wealdstone |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.33 | 23.1% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.65 | 60.6% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.67 | 59.9% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.40 | 22.7% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.70 | 58.8% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.67 | 59.9% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 26 Sep 06:15 |