| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.7% | 70% | -6.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 24.0% | 61.5% |
| xgboost | 41.4% | 57.4% |
| logistic | 23.9% | 76.1% |
| Calgary Flames | Colorado Avalanche | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1395 | 1590 |
| Surface Elo | 1395 | 1590 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 5.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| Rest days | 4 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 5 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | A | Seattle Kraken | 1 - 6 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Vancouver Canucks | 1 - 4 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Seattle Kraken | 1 - 6 | L |
| 17 Apr | H | Los Angeles Kings | 3 - 1 | W |
| 15 Apr | H | Colorado Avalanche | 1 - 3 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Winnipeg Jets | 2 - 3 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | St. Louis Blues | 6 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Los Angeles Kings | 8 - 4 | W |
| 27 May | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 May | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 3 - 5 | L |
| 15 Apr 2026 | Calgary Flames | 1 - 3 | Colorado Avalanche |
| 10 Apr 2026 | Colorado Avalanche | 3 - 1 | Calgary Flames |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Colorado Avalanche | 9 - 2 | Calgary Flames |
| 01 Apr 2025 | Colorado Avalanche | 2 - 3 | Calgary Flames |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Calgary Flames | 2 - 4 | Colorado Avalanche |
| 07 Feb 2025 | Calgary Flames | 2 - 4 | Colorado Avalanche |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 3.09 | 32.4% | 08 Oct 19:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.42 | 70.4% | 08 Oct 19:20 |