OgaOods

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Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-09-27

NFL · Sunday 27 September 2026, 20:05 UTC · finished

Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 16 - 23 – Minnesota Vikings

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	61.8%	54%	+7.7%	✓ hit

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	38.2%	61.8%

Inputs the models saw

	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Minnesota Vikings
playoff	0.00
elo diff	-0.24
form diff	-0.62
rest diff	0.00
home field	1.00
point diff	-0.72
opponent strength diff	-0.17
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-09-26T20:05:00+00:00

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: last 5

20 Sep	H	Cleveland Browns	19 - 23	L
13 Sep	A	Cincinnati Bengals	27 - 33	L
03 Jan	H	Carolina Panthers	16 - 14	W
28 Dec	A	Miami Dolphins	17 - 20	L
21 Dec	A	Carolina Panthers	20 - 23	L

Minnesota Vikings: last 5

20 Sep	A	Chicago Bears	9 - 3	W
13 Sep	H	Green Bay Packers	39 - 22	W
04 Jan	H	Green Bay Packers	16 - 3	W
25 Dec	H	Detroit Lions	23 - 10	W
21 Dec	A	New York Giants	16 - 13	W

Head to head

10 Sep 2023	Minnesota Vikings	17 - 20	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
13 Dec 2020	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	26 - 14	Minnesota Vikings
24 Sep 2017	Minnesota Vikings	34 - 17	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
26 Oct 2014	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	13 - 19	Minnesota Vikings
26 Oct 2012	Minnesota Vikings	17 - 36	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
18 Sep 2011	Minnesota Vikings	20 - 24	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
16 Nov 2008	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	19 - 13	Minnesota Vikings
11 Sep 2005	Minnesota Vikings	13 - 24	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
03 Nov 2002	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	38 - 24	Minnesota Vikings
28 Oct 2001	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	41 - 14	Minnesota Vikings

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	2.00	50.0%	27 Sep 14:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	1.91	52.4%	27 Sep 14:20

Generated 2026-10-30 20:32 UTC