| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 78.8% | 45% | +33.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 11.2% | 88.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 30.1% | 69.9% |
| logistic | 32.5% | 67.5% |
| Petros Tsitsipas | Rodrigo Alujas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1314 | 1574 |
| Surface Elo | 1314 | 1574 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 13 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Louis Wessels | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Jiri Cizek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Radu Albot | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Antoine Escoffier | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Robert Strombachs | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Martin Landaluce | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Max Houkes | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Mehluli Don Ayanda Sibanda | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.60 | 62.5% | 13 Oct 06:15 |