| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 70.0% | 81% | -10.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.7% | 61.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 16.9% | 83.0% |
| logistic | 44.2% | 55.8% |
| Rafael Tosetto | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1399 | 1474 |
| Surface Elo | 1399 | 1474 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 2 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 16 Oct | A | Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Ignacio Monzon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Jose Pereira | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Oscar Jose Gutierrez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Guilherme Barbieri Renner | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Dante Pagani | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Alan Magadan | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.24 | 80.7% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.65 | 27.4% | 17 Oct 06:15 |