OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-04

NFL · Sunday 04 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished

Philadelphia Eagles – 20 - 24 – Los Angeles Rams

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	58.9%	38%	+21.0%	✗ miss

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	58.9%	41.1%

Inputs the models saw

	Philadelphia Eagles	Los Angeles Rams
playoff	0.00
elo diff	0.05
form diff	0.12
rest diff	-0.14
home field	1.00
point diff	0.04
opponent strength diff	-0.05
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-10-03T17:00:00+00:00

Philadelphia Eagles: last 5

29 Sep	A	Chicago Bears	7 - 27	L
20 Sep	A	Tennessee Titans	24 - 20	W
13 Sep	H	Washington Commanders	24 - 22	W
11 Jan	H	San Francisco 49ers	19 - 23	L
04 Jan	H	Washington Commanders	17 - 24	L

Los Angeles Rams: last 5

28 Sep	A	Denver Broncos	26 - 30	L
22 Sep	H	New York Giants	28 - 6	W
11 Sep	H	San Francisco 49ers	7 - 27	L
25 Jan	A	Seattle Seahawks	27 - 31	L
18 Jan	A	Chicago Bears	20 - 17	W

Head to head

21 Sep 2025	Philadelphia Eagles	33 - 26	Los Angeles Rams
19 Jan 2025	Philadelphia Eagles	28 - 22	Los Angeles Rams
25 Nov 2024	Los Angeles Rams	20 - 37	Philadelphia Eagles
08 Oct 2023	Los Angeles Rams	14 - 23	Philadelphia Eagles
20 Sep 2020	Philadelphia Eagles	19 - 37	Los Angeles Rams
17 Dec 2018	Los Angeles Rams	23 - 30	Philadelphia Eagles
10 Dec 2017	Los Angeles Rams	35 - 43	Philadelphia Eagles

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	2.65	37.7%	04 Oct 15:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	1.54	64.9%	04 Oct 15:20

Generated 2026-10-30 17:06 UTC