| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.1% | 52% | +3.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.4% | 40.8% |
| xgboost | 44.0% | 55.2% |
| logistic | 54.3% | 45.7% |
| Buffalo Sabres | Vegas Golden Knights | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1558 | 1583 |
| Surface Elo | 1558 | 1583 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 0.61 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.06 | 3.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.31 | 2.78 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | H | Columbus Blue Jackets | 5 - 2 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Ottawa Senators | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Los Angeles Kings | 3 - 2 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Anaheim Ducks | 7 - 6 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | San Jose Sharks | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Detroit Red Wings | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Pittsburgh Penguins | 3 - 2 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Boston Bruins | 2 - 3 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | New Jersey Devils | 2 - 5 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Ottawa Senators | 4 - 1 | W |
| 18 Mar 2026 | Vegas Golden Knights | 0 - 2 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 04 Mar 2026 | Buffalo Sabres | 3 - 2 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Buffalo Sabres | 4 - 3 | Vegas Golden Knights |
| 05 Jan 2025 | Vegas Golden Knights | 3 - 1 | Buffalo Sabres |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.93 | 51.8% | 08 Nov 16:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.97 | 50.8% | 08 Nov 16:20 |