OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-06
⚽ England EFL Trophy · Tuesday 06 October 2026, 18:00 UTC · finished
Rotherham 1.00 0 - 4 2.00 Bradford
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 50.6%50%+1.1%✓ hit
DCHome or away 75.6%81%-5.0%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 64.7%67%-1.9%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 53.3%50%+3.6%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 52.2%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson28.5%30.5%41.0%
xgboost30.7%21.5%47.8%
logistic27.1%28.0%45.0%
Inputs the models saw
RotherhamBradford
Elo (pre-match)13831577
Surface Elo13831577
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.002.00
Form trend0.00-0.20
Season points per game1.003.00
Season goals for / game1.002.00
Season goals against / game1.001.00
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W2 W · 1 D
Rotherham: last 5
03 OctAExeter0 - 1L
03 OctAExeter0 - 1L
26 SepHCrewe1 - 1D
26 SepHCrewe1 - 1D
22 SepAYork1 - 1D
Bradford: last 5
03 OctAReading1 - 1D
03 OctAReading1 - 1D
22 SepHNewcastle United U212 - 1W
19 SepALuton1 - 0W
19 SepALuton1 - 0W
Head to head
24 Feb 2026Bradford1 - 0Rotherham
02 Oct 2025Rotherham2 - 2Bradford
23 Jan 2018Rotherham2 - 0Bradford
16 Sep 2017Bradford1 - 0Rotherham
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.0548.8%06 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5028.6%06 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.3030.3%06 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7158.5%06 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.1047.6%06 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:18 UTC