| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 67.8% | 78% | -10.3% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 89.9% | 94% | -4.4% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 87.1% | 92% | -5.2% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.4% | 68% | -14.9% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 54.9% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 63.7% | 22.1% | 14.2% |
| xgboost | 81.1% | 12.0% | 6.9% |
| logistic | 72.9% | 18.8% | 8.3% |
| Stockport | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1573 | 1412 |
| Surface Elo | 1573 | 1412 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 0.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.43 | 2.40 |
| Rest days | 3 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | A | Oxford | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Oxford | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Notts County | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Notts County | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Oct | A | Doncaster | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Arsenal | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Wycombe | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Wycombe | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Oct | H | Mansfield | 0 - 3 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Mansfield | 0 - 3 | L |
| 15 Apr 2026 | AFC Wimbledon | 0 - 2 | Stockport |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Stockport | 3 - 0 | AFC Wimbledon |
| 01 Apr 2024 | Stockport | 1 - 0 | AFC Wimbledon |
| 09 Sep 2023 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 - 2 | Stockport |
| 28 Jan 2023 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 - 0 | Stockport |
| 03 Sep 2022 | Stockport | 1 - 0 | AFC Wimbledon |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 9.40 | 10.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 6.20 | 16.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.28 | 78.1% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.47 | 68.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.65 | 37.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |