| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.7% | 58% | -6.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.6% | 59.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 61.9% | 38.0% |
| logistic | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| Daniel Elahi Galan | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1583 | 1597 |
| Surface Elo | 1583 | 1597 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 10 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Sep | A | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Marko Topo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Federico Agustin Gomez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Dali Blanch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Thiago Monteiro | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Luka Mikrut | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Zdenek Kolar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Daniel Elahi Galan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Daniel Elahi Galan | 0 - 2 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo |
| 08 Sep 2025 | Daniel Elahi Galan | 2 - 1 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.00 | 50.0% | 17 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.74 | 57.5% | 17 Sep 06:15 |