OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-19
🎾 ATP Almaty, Kazakhstan Men Singles · Monday 19 October 2026, 06:30 UTC · finished
Thiago Agustin Tirante 0.60 1 - 2 0.60 Facundo Diaz Acosta
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 52.1%77%-24.8%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov48.9%51.1%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost41.5%58.4%
logistic61.6%38.4%
Inputs the models saw
Thiago Agustin TiranteFacundo Diaz Acosta
Elo (pre-match)18521768
Surface Elo18521768
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.600.60
Form trend-0.300.60
Season points per game1.000.00
Season goals for / game1.000.00
Season goals against / game1.332.00
Rest days95
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W1 W · 0 D
Thiago Agustin Tirante: last 5
19 OctAFacundo Diaz Acosta1 - 2L
10 OctHRafael Jodar1 - 2L
10 OctARafael Jodar1 - 2L
08 OctHHamad Medjedovic2 - 0W
08 OctAHamad Medjedovic2 - 0W
Facundo Diaz Acosta: last 5
19 OctHThiago Agustin Tirante2 - 1W
13 OctHShintaro Mochizuki0 - 2L
12 OctHShintaro Mochizuki0 - 2L
08 OctANuno Borges0 - 2L
08 OctHNuno Borges0 - 2L
Head to head
19 Oct 2026Facundo Diaz Acosta2 - 1Thiago Agustin Tirante
20 Oct 2025Facundo Diaz Acosta0 - 2Thiago Agustin Tirante
07 Jul 2025Facundo Diaz Acosta0 - 2Thiago Agustin Tirante
05 Feb 2024Facundo Diaz Acosta2 - 1Thiago Agustin Tirante
12 Mar 2023Facundo Diaz Acosta0 - 1Thiago Agustin Tirante
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.5528.2%19 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.3275.8%19 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:04 UTC