| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.9% | 72% | -10.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 70.3% | 29.6% |
| logistic | 60.9% | 39.1% |
| Andrej Nedic | Alex Marti Pujolras | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1561 | 1448 |
| Surface Elo | 1561 | 1448 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.83 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Gabriele Piraino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Alex Marti Pujolras | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Gabriele Piraino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Filippo Romano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Pierluigi Basile | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Izan Almazan Valiente | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Sandro Kopp | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Andrej Nedic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Pierluigi Basile | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Alex Marti Pujolras | 2 - 0 | Andrej Nedic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.90 | 34.5% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.38 | 72.5% | 22 Oct 06:15 |