| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 69.1% | 86% | -17.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 71.8% | 28.1% |
| logistic | 67.2% | 32.8% |
| Adrian Mannarino | Dan Added | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1650 | 1492 |
| Surface Elo | 1650 | 1492 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 20 | 316 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | H | Matisse Bobichon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Dominik Kellovsky | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Sep | H | Alexander Bublik | 0 - 3 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 3 - 2 | W |
| 26 Aug | H | Lorenzo Sonego | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Jiri Vesely | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Gijs Brouwer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Sep | H | Henrique Rocha | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Sep | A | Damien Salvestre | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.80 | 20.8% | 15 Sep 09:05 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.16 | 86.2% | 15 Sep 09:05 |