OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-16
⚽ France Ligue 2 · Friday 16 October 2026, 18:00 UTC · finished
Guingamp 1.00 1 - 2 1.60 Pau FC
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 46.2%47%-0.4%✗ miss
DCHome or away 76.8%77%+0.2%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 57.4%64%-7.0%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 62.8%55%+7.8%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 57.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson50.8%23.8%25.3%
xgboost34.1%23.8%42.0%
logistic34.4%27.6%38.0%
Inputs the models saw
GuingampPau FC
Elo (pre-match)13821419
Surface Elo13821419
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.001.60
Form trend0.30-0.60
Season points per game0.003.00
Season goals for / game0.503.00
Season goals against / game2.002.00
Rest days66
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W4 W · 1 D
Guingamp: last 5
09 OctANancy0 - 1L
09 OctANancy0 - 1L
19 SepHRed Star1 - 3L
19 SepHRed Star1 - 3L
12 SepHAnnecy2 - 1W
Pau FC: last 5
09 OctHLaval3 - 2W
09 OctHStade Lavallois MFC3 - 2W
18 SepHDunkerque2 - 0W
11 SepAMontpellier0 - 1L
04 SepHSochaux1 - 1D
Head to head
17 Apr 2026Pau FC2 - 1Guingamp
08 Nov 2025Guingamp2 - 2Pau FC
10 May 2025Pau FC1 - 3Guingamp
18 Oct 2024Guingamp0 - 1Pau FC
27 Apr 2024Pau FC1 - 2Guingamp
26 Aug 2023Guingamp4 - 0Pau FC
22 Apr 2023Pau FC2 - 1Guingamp
30 Jul 2022Guingamp4 - 0Pau FC
19 Apr 2022Guingamp3 - 0Pau FC
20 Nov 2021Pau FC2 - 0Guingamp
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.1032.3%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4029.4%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.2544.4%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8354.6%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9551.3%16 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:05 UTC