| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.2% | 60% | -0.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 34.3% | 65.6% |
| logistic | 42.4% | 57.6% |
| Aziz Dougaz | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1553 | 1670 |
| Surface Elo | 1553 | 1670 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | H | Damir Dzumhur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Damir Dzumhur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Hayato Matsuoka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Sergey Fomin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Aug | H | Jie Cui | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Damir Dzumhur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Georgii Kravchenko | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Niels Visker | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Damir Dzumhur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Georgii Kravchenko | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.66 | 60.2% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |