| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.0% | 65% | -7.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.6% | 38.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 58.6% | 41.4% |
| logistic | 54.4% | 45.6% |
| Charles Broom | Akira Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1590 | 1519 |
| Surface Elo | 1590 | 1519 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 20 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | A | Alibek Kachmazov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | George Loffhagen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Oliver Tarvet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Max Basing | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Patrick Brady | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Jie Cui | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Liam Broady | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Yaroslav Demin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Jie Cui | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Dinko Dinev | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.56 | 64.1% | 26 Oct 06:15 |