| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.7% | 56% | -6.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 75.8% | 82% | -6.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.7% | 74% | -8.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.6% | 65% | -13.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.9% | 24.9% | 27.2% |
| xgboost | 48.4% | 30.3% | 21.3% |
| logistic | 46.0% | 28.6% | 25.4% |
| Bochum | Karlsruhe | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1439 | 1423 |
| Surface Elo | 1439 | 1423 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.70 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.10 | 2.10 |
| Rest days | 8 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 3 D |
| 30 Oct | A | Cottbus | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Cottbus | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Mainz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Wolfsburg | 1 - 1 | D |
| 23 Oct | H | Wolfsburg | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Heidenheim | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Magdeburg | 1 - 6 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Darmstadt | 4 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | St Pauli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Nurnberg | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 May 2026 | Karlsruhe | 1 - 2 | Bochum |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Bochum | 2 - 2 | Karlsruhe |
| 31 Jan 2021 | Bochum | 1 - 2 | Karlsruhe |
| 27 Sep 2020 | Karlsruhe | 0 - 1 | Bochum |
| 24 May 2020 | Karlsruhe | 0 - 0 | Bochum |
| 20 Oct 2019 | Bochum | 3 - 3 | Karlsruhe |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.50 | 22.2% | 08 Nov 12:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 08 Nov 12:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.67 | 59.9% | 08 Nov 12:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 08 Nov 12:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 08 Nov 12:30 |