| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.7% | 66% | -6.6% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 59.6% | 40.3% |
| logistic | 62.2% | 37.8% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Valentin Vacherot | Mariano Navone | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1889 | 1801 |
| Surface Elo | 1889 | 1801 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W 路 0 D |
| 22 Oct | H | Luca Van Assche | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Luca Van Assche | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Tommy Paul | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Tommy Paul | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Sebastian Baez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Tallon Griekspoor | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | H | Tallon Griekspoor | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Pablo Carreno Busta | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Aug 2026 | Mariano Navone | 2 - 1 | Valentin Vacherot |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Mariano Navone | 0 - 2 | Valentin Vacherot |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | h2h | Mariano Navone | 2.60 | 38.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 1.50 | 66.7% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Mariano Navone | 2.70 | 37.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 1.50 | 66.7% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Mariano Navone | 2.74 | 36.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 1.56 | 64.1% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Mariano Navone | 2.76 | 36.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Valentin Vacherot | 1.57 | 63.7% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Mariano Navone | 2.62 | 38.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 1.53 | 65.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Mariano Navone | 2.50 | 40.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 1.51 | 66.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Mariano Navone | 2.84 | 35.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 1.53 | 65.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Mariano Navone | 2.90 | 34.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Valentin Vacherot | 1.54 | 64.9% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Mariano Navone | 2.68 | 37.3% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 1.52 | 65.8% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Mariano Navone | 2.38 | 42.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 1.44 | 69.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.51 | 66.2% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Mariano Navone | 2.40 | 41.7% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 1.44 | 69.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Mariano Navone | 2.50 | 40.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 1.51 | 66.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Mariano Navone | 2.50 | 40.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 1.51 | 66.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Mariano Navone | 2.60 | 38.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 1.50 | 66.7% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Mariano Navone | 2.65 | 37.7% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 1.52 | 65.8% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Mariano Navone | 2.50 | 40.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Valentin Vacherot | 1.48 | 67.6% | 26 Oct 06:00 |