| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 73.9% | 88% | -13.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 68.8% | 31.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 85.6% | 14.4% |
| logistic | 80.4% | 19.6% |
| Fabian Marozsan | Sebastian Sorger | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1766 | 1424 |
| Surface Elo | 1766 | 1424 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 31 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | A | Alexander Bublik | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Timofey Skatov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Timofey Skatov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Zachary Svajda | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Zachary Svajda | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Stepan Baum | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Martin Krumich | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Valerio Aboian | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Petr Brunclik | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Aug | A | Petr Nesterov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 May 2022 | Fabian Marozsan | 2 - 0 | Sebastian Sorger |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.20 | 16.1% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.14 | 87.7% | 24 Oct 06:15 |