| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 68.6% | 78% | -9.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 66.4% | 33.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 76.6% | 23.4% |
| logistic | 67.9% | 32.1% |
| Alexander Ritschard | Svyatoslav Gulin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1767 | 1589 |
| Surface Elo | 1767 | 1589 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.31 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.54 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.20 | 0.54 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Marco Trungelliti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Sumit Nagal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Raul Brancaccio | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Carlos Taberner | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Andrej Martin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Elmer Moller | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Andrea Pellegrino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Andrej Martin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Patrick Schoen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Patrick Schoen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Alexander Ritschard | 2 - 0 | Svyatoslav Gulin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.45 | 29.0% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.28 | 78.1% | 25 Oct 06:15 |