| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.8% | 63% | -8.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 77.5% | 86% | -8.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 69.8% | 80% | -10.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% | 65% | -4.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 28.2% | 22.2% | 49.6% |
| xgboost | 18.4% | 16.9% | 64.7% |
| logistic | 16.2% | 25.7% | 58.1% |
| Gateshead | Worthing | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1320 | 1511 |
| Surface Elo | 1320 | 1511 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.33 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.67 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | H | Altrincham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Altrincham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Wealdstone | 0 - 4 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Wealdstone | 0 - 4 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Southend | 1 - 6 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Yeovil | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Sep | A | Yeovil | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Halifax | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Halifax | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Hartlepool | 3 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.50 | 66.7% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.40 | 22.7% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.30 | 18.9% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.52 | 65.8% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 02 Oct 06:15 |