| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.3% | 57% | -9.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.1% | 40.4% |
| xgboost | 48.9% | 49.1% |
| logistic | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| Montréal Canadiens | Buffalo Sabres | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1570 | 1571 |
| Surface Elo | 1570 | 1571 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.43 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.29 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.86 | 3.75 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 14 Oct | A | Washington Capitals | 4 - 5 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Buffalo Sabres | 4 - 3 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Detroit Red Wings | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Nashville Predators | 2 - 5 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 4 - 6 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 5 - 4 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Montréal Canadiens | 3 - 4 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Florida Panthers | 5 - 3 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 1 - 4 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Dallas Stars | 0 - 4 | L |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Montréal Canadiens | 4 - 3 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 18 May 2026 | Buffalo Sabres | 2 - 3 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 17 May 2026 | Montréal Canadiens | 3 - 8 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 14 May 2026 | Buffalo Sabres | 3 - 6 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 12 May 2026 | Montréal Canadiens | 2 - 3 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 10 May 2026 | Montréal Canadiens | 6 - 2 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 08 May 2026 | Buffalo Sabres | 1 - 5 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 06 May 2026 | Buffalo Sabres | 4 - 2 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 01 Feb 2026 | Buffalo Sabres | 2 - 4 | Montréal Canadiens |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Montréal Canadiens | 2 - 4 | Buffalo Sabres |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.74 | 57.5% | 17 Oct 18:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.22 | 45.0% | 17 Oct 18:20 |