| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 76.6% | 80% | -3.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 31.6% | 68.3% |
| logistic | 21.9% | 78.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | Casper Ruud | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1594 | 1997 |
| Surface Elo | 1594 | 1997 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.92 |
| Rest days | 1 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | A | Adrian Mannarino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Jacob Fearnley | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | A | Viktor Durasovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Luka Pavlovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Luka Pavlovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | H | Carlos Alcaraz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Carlos Alcaraz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | H | Nuno Borges | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | H | Nuno Borges | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Jan Lennard Struff | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.25 | 80.0% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.10 | 24.4% | 11 Nov 06:15 |