| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.7% | 78% | -10.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 90.2% | 92% | -2.2% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 87.4% | 91% | -3.2% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.9% | 79% | -18.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 6.5% | 10.4% | 83.2% |
| xgboost | 15.4% | 16.2% | 68.4% |
| logistic | 3.7% | 13.3% | 83.0% |
| Den Haag | PSV Eindhoven | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1344 | 1846 |
| Surface Elo | 1344 | 1846 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 6 W · 2 D |
| 11 Oct | A | Telstar | 2 - 2 | D |
| 11 Oct | A | Telstar | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Cambuur | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Cambuur | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Twente | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Vitesse | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | RB Leipzig | 0 - 1 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Heerenveen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Roda JC Kerkrade | 1 - 1 | D |
| 09 Oct | A | Almere City | 0 - 3 | L |
| 13 Feb 2021 | Den Haag | 2 - 2 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 01 Nov 2020 | PSV Eindhoven | 4 - 0 | Den Haag |
| 15 Feb 2020 | Den Haag | 0 - 3 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 11 Aug 2019 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 - 1 | Den Haag |
| 21 Apr 2019 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 - 1 | Den Haag |
| 15 Sep 2018 | Den Haag | 0 - 7 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 29 Apr 2018 | Den Haag | 3 - 3 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 16 Dec 2017 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 - 0 | Den Haag |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.29 | 77.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 7.02 | 14.2% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 8.92 | 11.2% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.26 | 79.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 4.10 | 24.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |