| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 68.6% | 47% | +21.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.6% | 41.2% |
| xgboost | 25.0% | 74.3% |
| logistic | 21.2% | 78.8% |
| Detroit Red Wings | New York Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1432 | 1449 |
| Surface Elo | 1432 | 1449 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 169 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 5 W · 0 D |
| 15 Apr | A | Florida Panthers | 1 - 8 | L |
| 13 Apr | A | Tampa Bay Lightning | 3 - 4 | L |
| 11 Apr | H | New Jersey Devils | 3 - 5 | L |
| 09 Apr | H | Philadelphia Flyers | 6 - 3 | W |
| 07 Apr | H | Columbus Blue Jackets | 3 - 4 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Tampa Bay Lightning | 5 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Boston Bruins | 0 - 3 | L |
| 15 Apr | A | Tampa Bay Lightning | 4 - 2 | W |
| 13 Apr | A | Florida Panthers | 2 - 3 | L |
| 11 Apr | A | Dallas Stars | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Apr 2026 | New York Rangers | 4 - 1 | Detroit Red Wings |
| 17 Nov 2025 | New York Rangers | 1 - 2 | Detroit Red Wings |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Detroit Red Wings | 1 - 4 | New York Rangers |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Detroit Red Wings | 0 - 4 | New York Rangers |
| 17 Oct 2024 | Detroit Red Wings | 2 - 5 | New York Rangers |
| 14 Oct 2024 | New York Rangers | 4 - 1 | Detroit Red Wings |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.82 | 54.9% | 02 Oct 19:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.11 | 47.4% | 02 Oct 19:20 |