| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 69.6% | 71% | -1.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 40.1% | 59.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 29.7% | 70.2% |
| logistic | 35.4% | 64.6% |
| Mert Alkaya | Eliakim Coulibaly | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1492 | 1607 |
| Surface Elo | 1492 | 1607 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 11 | 16 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Oct | H | Yu Hsiou Hsu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Rigele Te | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Yu Hsiou Hsu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Hiroki Moriya | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Rigele Te | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Jack Loge | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Thomas Faurel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Larue, Louis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Nikita Ianin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Larue, Louis | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Oct 2025 | Eliakim Coulibaly | 1 - 2 | Mert Alkaya |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.38 | 72.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.90 | 34.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |