| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.0% | 65% | -11.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 43.7% | 56.2% |
| logistic | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| Abdullah Shelbayh | Daniil Glinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1663 | 1649 |
| Surface Elo | 1663 | 1649 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.10 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.70 | 0.83 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | A | Damir Dzumhur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | David Jorda Sanchis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Daniil Glinka | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Damir Dzumhur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | David Jorda Sanchis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Moez Echargui | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Gauthier Onclin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Laslo Djere | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Jack Pinnington Jones | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Abdullah Shelbayh | 1 - 2 | Daniil Glinka |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.55 | 64.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |