| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.9% | 65% | -12.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 49.1% | 50.8% |
| logistic | 48.7% | 51.3% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Emilien Demanet | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1535 | 1532 |
| Surface Elo | 1535 | 1532 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 16 Oct | A | Dorian Tremblay | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Dan Added | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Tuncay Duran | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Aziz Ouakaa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Louis Tessa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Isaac Nortey | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Domingos, Daniel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Clement Tabur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Jack Pinnington Jones | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Clement Tabur | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.55 | 64.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |