| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.5% | 62% | -2.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.8% | 43.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 55.6% | 44.3% |
| logistic | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | Calvin Hemery | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1604 | 1611 |
| Surface Elo | 1604 | 1611 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.60 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.60 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.60 | 1.22 |
| Rest days | 6 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | H | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Federico Cina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Federico Cina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Mattia Bellucci | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Nov | H | Lucas Poullain | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Philip Henning | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Robin Catry | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Adrien Gobat | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.61 | 62.1% | 10 Nov 06:15 |