OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-18
NFL · Sunday 18 October 2026, 20:25 UTC · finished
Kansas City Chiefs – 22 - 6 – Los Angeles Chargers
NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 73.6%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
ensemble73.6%26.4%
Inputs the models saw
Kansas City ChiefsLos Angeles Chargers
playoff0.00
elo diff0.20
form diff0.50
rest diff1.00
home field1.00
point diff0.80
opponent strength diff-0.17
Information cutoff (UTC)2026-10-17T20:25:00+00:00
Kansas City Chiefs: last 5
04 OctALas Vegas Raiders30 - 27W
27 SepAMiami Dolphins24 - 10W
21 SepHIndianapolis Colts33 - 30W
15 SepHDenver Broncos31 - 10W
04 JanALas Vegas Raiders12 - 14L
Los Angeles Chargers: last 5
11 OctHDenver Broncos17 - 23L
04 OctASeattle Seahawks23 - 30L
27 SepABuffalo Bills16 - 24L
20 SepHLas Vegas Raiders14 - 26L
13 SepHArizona Cardinals14 - 26L
Head to head
14 Dec 2025Kansas City Chiefs13 - 16Los Angeles Chargers
06 Sep 2025Los Angeles Chargers27 - 21Kansas City Chiefs
09 Dec 2024Kansas City Chiefs19 - 17Los Angeles Chargers
29 Sep 2024Los Angeles Chargers10 - 17Kansas City Chiefs
07 Jan 2024Los Angeles Chargers12 - 13Kansas City Chiefs
22 Oct 2023Kansas City Chiefs31 - 17Los Angeles Chargers
21 Nov 2022Los Angeles Chargers27 - 30Kansas City Chiefs
16 Sep 2022Kansas City Chiefs27 - 24Los Angeles Chargers
17 Dec 2021Los Angeles Chargers28 - 34Kansas City Chiefs
26 Sep 2021Kansas City Chiefs24 - 30Los Angeles Chargers
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Pinnacle sharp1X2home1.2381.3%18 Oct 16:20
Pinnacle sharp1X2away4.5721.9%18 Oct 16:20
Generated 2026-10-30 15:56 UTC