| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 69.6% | 87% | -17.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 20.0% | 79.9% |
| logistic | 31.4% | 68.6% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Arantxa Rus | Kristina Liutova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1413 | 1591 |
| Surface Elo | 1413 | 1591 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.40 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Crossley, Mayu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Yeonwoo Ku | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Yeonwoo Ku | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Kaitlyn Carnicella | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Malaika Rapolu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Miroshnichenko, V | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Sloane Stephens | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Renata Zarazua | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Maria Lourdes Carle | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Qinwen Zheng | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.15 | 87.0% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.75 | 21.1% | 29 Oct 06:15 |