| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.5% | 62% | -6.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.8% | 44.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 62.4% | 37.6% |
| logistic | 47.9% | 52.1% |
| Andres Martin | Kaylan Bigun | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1464 | 1457 |
| Surface Elo | 1464 | 1457 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.83 |
| Rest days | 6 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Erik Arutiunian | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Erik Arutiunian | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Hance, Keaton | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Keaton Hance | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Aidan Mayo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Aidan Mayo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Trevor Svajda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Patrick Zahraj | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Aidan Mayo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Trevor Svajda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct 2025 | Andres Martin | 2 - 0 | Kaylan Bigun |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.62 | 61.7% | 26 Oct 06:15 |