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Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-04

NFL · Sunday 04 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished

New York Giants – 36 - 24 – Arizona Cardinals

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	65.6%	45%	+20.8%	✓ hit

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	65.6%	34.4%

Inputs the models saw

	New York Giants	Arizona Cardinals
playoff	0.00
elo diff	0.04
form diff	0.38
rest diff	0.02
home field	1.00
point diff	1.04
opponent strength diff	-0.18
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-10-03T17:00:00+00:00

New York Giants: last 5

27 Sep	H	Tennessee Titans	12 - 7	W
22 Sep	A	Los Angeles Rams	6 - 28	L
14 Sep	H	Dallas Cowboys	28 - 20	W
04 Jan	H	Dallas Cowboys	34 - 17	W
28 Dec	A	Las Vegas Raiders	34 - 10	W

Arizona Cardinals: last 5

27 Sep	A	San Francisco 49ers	30 - 36	L
20 Sep	H	Seattle Seahawks	7 - 31	L
13 Sep	A	Los Angeles Chargers	26 - 14	W
04 Jan	A	Los Angeles Rams	20 - 37	L
28 Dec	A	Cincinnati Bengals	14 - 37	L

Head to head

17 Sep 2023	Arizona Cardinals	28 - 31	New York Giants
13 Dec 2020	New York Giants	7 - 26	Arizona Cardinals
20 Oct 2019	New York Giants	21 - 27	Arizona Cardinals
24 Dec 2017	Arizona Cardinals	23 - 0	New York Giants
14 Sep 2014	New York Giants	14 - 25	Arizona Cardinals
02 Oct 2011	Arizona Cardinals	27 - 31	New York Giants
26 Oct 2009	New York Giants	17 - 24	Arizona Cardinals
23 Nov 2008	Arizona Cardinals	29 - 37	New York Giants
11 Sep 2005	New York Giants	42 - 19	Arizona Cardinals
14 Nov 2004	Arizona Cardinals	17 - 14	New York Giants

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	2.20	45.5%	04 Oct 15:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	1.75	57.1%	04 Oct 15:20

Generated 2026-10-30 18:19 UTC