OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-26
⚽ England League Two · Saturday 26 September 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Tranmere 1.20 1 - 1 1.80 Walsall
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 50.8%36%+14.5%✗ miss
DCHome or away 75.2%76%-0.4%✗ miss
DNBAway (DNB) 65.9%51%+15.1%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 47.3%54%-6.4%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 53.6%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson32.6%27.6%39.8%
xgboost28.0%24.8%47.2%
logistic24.5%28.7%46.8%
Inputs the models saw
TranmereWalsall
Elo (pre-match)13411446
Surface Elo13411446
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.201.80
Form trend0.100.00
Season points per game1.003.00
Season goals for / game0.002.00
Season goals against / game0.000.00
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W6 W · 1 D
Tranmere: last 5
22 SepHShrewsbury1 - 0W
19 SepAExeter0 - 0D
19 SepAExeter0 - 0D
12 SepAGillingham0 - 2L
05 SepHOldham2 - 0W
Walsall: last 5
22 SepHStevenage1 - 6L
19 SepHPort Vale2 - 0W
19 SepHPort Vale2 - 0W
12 SepHRochdale0 - 0D
05 SepAExeter0 - 0D
Head to head
17 Jan 2026Tranmere1 - 3Walsall
20 Sep 2025Walsall4 - 2Tranmere
11 Jan 2025Walsall5 - 1Tranmere
24 Aug 2024Tranmere1 - 0Walsall
06 Apr 2024Tranmere1 - 3Walsall
16 Dec 2023Walsall1 - 0Tranmere
14 Jan 2023Tranmere1 - 1Walsall
24 Sep 2022Walsall0 - 1Tranmere
12 Feb 2022Walsall1 - 0Tranmere
07 Aug 2021Tranmere1 - 0Walsall
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.7536.4%25 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.3330.0%25 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.5539.2%25 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8653.8%25 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.8853.2%25 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 20:30 UTC